Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Gavorrano to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGavorrano to win ✓66% · @1.65
Double chanceGavorrano or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone E sees Gavorrano take on Sasso Marconi Zola on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Gavorrano are 4th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Sasso Marconi Zola sit 13th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Gavorrano's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat San Donato Tavarnelle 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sasso Marconi Zola's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Prato 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gavorrano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Gavorrano and 0.6 for Sasso Marconi Zola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 40%.
Our pre-match pick was Gavorrano to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gavorrano 1–0 Sasso Marconi Zola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gavorrano66%fair 1.52 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Sasso Marconi Zola11%fair 9.41 · @4.50
2.40Expected goals
1.81Gavorrano xG
0.59Sasso Marconi Zola xG
40%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.8 – 0.6 Sasso Marconi Zola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gavorrano to win✓
66%
1.52
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Gavorrano or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Gavorrano ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
Gavorrano – last 6
WWDWWL
20 Sep
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Ternana
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Grassina
2–0
W
10 May
vs Camaiore
3–2
W
3 May
vs Tau Altopascio
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sasso Marconi Zola – last 6
LDLWDL
20 Sep
vs Prato
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Flaminia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Terranuova Traiana
2–1
W
10 May
@ Imolese
0–0
D
3 May
@ Progresso
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gavorrano and Sasso Marconi Zola.
What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our pick is Gavorrano to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
On our numbers Gavorrano have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sasso Marconi Zola 11%.
How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–0 Sasso Marconi Zola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
