Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Altavilla to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAltavilla to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceAltavilla or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.64
Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone C sees Altavilla take on Virtus Bolzano on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Altavilla are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Virtus Bolzano sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Altavilla's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Mestre 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Virtus Bolzano's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Sandona 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Altavilla and 0.9 for Virtus Bolzano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Altavilla to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Altavilla or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Altavilla 1–0 Virtus Bolzano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Altavilla59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.25
Virtus Bolzano19%fair 5.24 · @3.70
2.76Expected goals
1.83Altavilla xG
0.93Virtus Bolzano xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Altavilla 1.8 – 0.9 Virtus Bolzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Altavilla to win✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Altavilla or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Altavilla ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Altavilla / FT Altavilla✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.64
–
Form
Altavilla – last 6
LLDWWW
20 Sep
@ Mestre
2–3
L
16 Sep
vs Legnago Salus
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ LME
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Triestina
1–0
W
3 May
@ Conegliano
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Mestre
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Virtus Bolzano – last 5
WLWLL
20 Sep
vs Sandona
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Luparense
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Brian Lignano
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Clodiense
0–2
L
25 Jul
@ Modena
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altavilla and Virtus Bolzano.
What is the prediction for Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?
Our pick is Altavilla or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?
On our numbers Altavilla have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Virtus Bolzano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?
Our predicted score is Altavilla 1–0 Virtus Bolzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano?
Altavilla vs Virtus Bolzano (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
