Serie D Girone C · ItalyCjarlins Muzane vs Triestina prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Cjarlins Muzane to win @ 1.69 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cjarlins Muzane 2.1 – 0.8 Triestina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cjarlins Muzane are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 11% for Triestina.
Cjarlins Muzane have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Triestina have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Cjarlins Muzane come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for Cjarlins Muzane, 0.8 for Triestina). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Cjarlins Muzane to win at 1.69 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cjarlins Muzane to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.69 ▲ |
| Double chance | Cjarlins Muzane or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.29 |
| Half-time result | Cjarlins Muzane ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cjarlins Muzane / FT Cjarlins Muzane ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.27 | – |
Form
Cjarlins Muzane – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Este | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Conegliano | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Campodarsego | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ FC Obermais | 5–2 | W |
| 3 May | @ Campodarsego | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Apr | vs San Luigi | 4–2 | W |
Triestina – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Bassano Virtus | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Campodarsego | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Calvi Noale | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Altavilla | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | @ Albinoleffe | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Apr | @ Pro Patria | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cjarlins Muzane and Triestina.
Serie D Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cjarlins Muzane | 11 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Luparense | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Sandona | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Clodiense | 11 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Campodarsego | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Mestre | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Legnago Salus | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Este | 11 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Conegliano | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Bassano Virtus | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  FC Obermais | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Triestina | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 |  LME | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Altavilla | 11 | +5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Virtus Bolzano | 11 | -16 | 11 |
| 16 |  Calvi Noale | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 |  Schio | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Brian Lignano | 11 | -11 | 5 |
More Serie D Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cjarlins Muzane vs Triestina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cjarlins Muzane vs Triestina?
On our numbers Cjarlins Muzane have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Triestina 11%.
How many goals will there be in Cjarlins Muzane vs Triestina?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Cjarlins Muzane vs Triestina?
Cjarlins Muzane vs Triestina (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.