Serie D Girone C · ItalyFC Obermais vs Mestre prediction & analysis
Mestre or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Mestre to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Obermais 0.8 – 1.7 Mestre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mestre travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 19% for FC Obermais.
FC Obermais have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Mestre have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 for FC Obermais, 1.7 for Mestre). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 43%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Mestre or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Mestre to win at 1.95 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mestre to win ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Mestre or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mestre / FT Mestre ✗ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.09 | – |
Form
FC Obermais – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Conegliano | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs LME | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Este | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Cjarlins Muzane | 2–5 | L |
| 17 May | @ Vigasio | 2–2 | D |
| 10 May | @ San Luigi | 3–1 | W |
Mestre – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Altavilla | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Bassano Virtus | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Luparense | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Calvi Noale | 2–0 | W |
| 3 May | vs Treviso | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | @ Altavilla | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Obermais and Mestre.
Serie D Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cjarlins Muzane | 11 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Luparense | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Sandona | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Clodiense | 11 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Campodarsego | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Mestre | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Legnago Salus | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Este | 11 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Conegliano | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Bassano Virtus | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  FC Obermais | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Triestina | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 |  LME | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Altavilla | 11 | +5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Virtus Bolzano | 11 | -16 | 11 |
| 16 |  Calvi Noale | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 |  Schio | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Brian Lignano | 11 | -11 | 5 |
More Serie D Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Obermais vs Mestre?
Our pick is Mestre or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Obermais vs Mestre?
On our numbers FC Obermais have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mestre 60%.
How many goals will there be in FC Obermais vs Mestre?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Obermais vs Mestre?
FC Obermais vs Mestre (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.