Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Valle to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceVilla Valle or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola preview and prediction
The match
Villa Valle host Fiorenzuola in the Serie D Girone B on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Villa Valle are 7th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Fiorenzuola sit 17th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Villa Valle's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Leon 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Fiorenzuola's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Caldiero Terme 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Villa Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Villa Valle and 0.6 for Fiorenzuola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 39%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa Valle 61%, draw 25%, Fiorenzuola 15%.
Safer route: Villa Valle or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Villa Valle to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Villa Valle 1–0 Fiorenzuola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa Valle61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.25
Fiorenzuola15%fair 6.86 · @3.80
2.21Expected goals
1.59Villa Valle xG
0.63Fiorenzuola xG
39%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Villa Valle 1.6 – 0.6 Fiorenzuola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Valle to win✗
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Villa Valle or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Valle / FT Villa Valle✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Villa Valle – last 6
WLDDDL
27 Sep
@ Leon
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Milan II
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Tritium
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Virtus Verona
2–2
D
3 May
@ Breno
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fiorenzuola – last 5
DLLLL
27 Sep
vs Caldiero Terme
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Brusaporto
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Pro Palazzolo
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Nibbiano & Valtidone
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Scanzorosciate
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Valle and Fiorenzuola.
What is the prediction for Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
Our pick is Villa Valle to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
On our numbers Villa Valle have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fiorenzuola 15%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
Our predicted score is Villa Valle 1–0 Fiorenzuola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
