Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.74 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Calepina to win ✓39% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone B sees Rovato Vertovese take on Real Calepina on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Rovato Vertovese are 14th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Real Calepina sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rovato Vertovese's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Tritium 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Real Calepina's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Brusaporto 2–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Rovato Vertovese and 1.7 for Real Calepina. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rovato Vertovese 38%, draw 22%, Real Calepina 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.74.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.74 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Rovato Vertovese 1–1 Real Calepina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rovato Vertovese38%fair 2.60 · @2.58
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.76
Real Calepina39%fair 2.54 · @2.51
3.29Expected goals
1.63Rovato Vertovese xG
1.66Real Calepina xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Rovato Vertovese 1.6 – 1.7 Real Calepina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Calepina to win✓
39%
2.54
2.51
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.74 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Calepina / FT Real Calepina✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.98
–
Form
Rovato Vertovese – last 6
DDDLLD
27 Sep
@ Tritium
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Leon
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Virtus Verona
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Chievo
3–4
L
6 Sep
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Ospitaletto
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Calepina – last 6
LLDDWD
27 Sep
vs Brusaporto
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Piacenza
1–3
L
16 Sep
vs Caldiero Terme
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Scanzorosciate
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Pro Palazzolo
5–1
W
3 May
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rovato Vertovese and Real Calepina.
What is the prediction for Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
On our numbers Rovato Vertovese have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Calepina 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
Our predicted score is Rovato Vertovese 1–1 Real Calepina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
