Value bet: Brusaporto to win @ 1.87 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrusaporto to win ✗59% · @1.87
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.75
Brusaporto vs Pro Palazzolo preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone B sees Brusaporto take on Pro Palazzolo on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Brusaporto are 16th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Pro Palazzolo sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Brusaporto's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Real Calepina 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Pro Palazzolo's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Scanzorosciate 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Brusaporto and 0.9 for Pro Palazzolo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brusaporto 59%, draw 19%, Pro Palazzolo 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Brusaporto to win at 1.87 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Brusaporto 1–0 Pro Palazzolo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brusaporto59%fair 1.69 · @1.87
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.74
Pro Palazzolo22%fair 4.56 · @4.06
2.57Expected goals
1.69Brusaporto xG
0.88Pro Palazzolo xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Brusaporto 1.7 – 0.9 Pro Palazzolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusaporto to win✗
59%
1.69
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.27
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brusaporto / FT Brusaporto✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.75
–
Form
Brusaporto – last 6
WWLWLL
27 Sep
@ Real Calepina
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Fiorenzuola
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Milan II
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Tritium
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Leon
0–2
L
3 May
@ Oltrepò
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pro Palazzolo – last 6
DLWWLD
27 Sep
@ Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Nibbiano & Valtidone
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Fiorenzuola
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Milan II
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Real Calepina
1–5
L
1 Aug
vs Union Brescia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brusaporto and Pro Palazzolo.
What is the prediction for Brusaporto vs Pro Palazzolo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Brusaporto vs Pro Palazzolo?
On our numbers Brusaporto have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pro Palazzolo 22%.
How many goals will there be in Brusaporto vs Pro Palazzolo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brusaporto vs Pro Palazzolo?
Our predicted score is Brusaporto 1–0 Pro Palazzolo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Brusaporto vs Pro Palazzolo?
Brusaporto vs Pro Palazzolo (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
