Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.27Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChievo to win ✓65% · @1.27
Double chanceChievo or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Chievo vs Tritium preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone B sees Chievo take on Tritium on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Chievo are 1st with 25 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Tritium sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chievo's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Nibbiano & Valtidone 0–2 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tritium's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Rovato Vertovese 2–2 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chievo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Chievo and 0.8 for Tritium. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chievo 65%, draw 22%, Tritium 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chievo to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Chievo 2–0 Tritium. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chievo65%fair 1.54 · @1.27
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.50
Tritium12%fair 8.03 · @9.00
2.94Expected goals
2.10Chievo xG
0.84Tritium xG
48%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chievo 2.1 – 0.8 Tritium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chievo to win✓
65%
1.54
1.27
Double chance
Chievo or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Chievo ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chievo / FT Chievo✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.55
–
Form
Chievo – last 6
LWWWWW
27 Sep
@ Nibbiano & Valtidone
0–2
L
21 Sep
vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Club Milano
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Rovato Vertovese
4–3
W
5 Sep
vs Pavonese
1–0
W
3 May
vs Pavia
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tritium – last 5
DLDLL
27 Sep
vs Rovato Vertovese
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Pavonese
2–3
L
16 Sep
vs Villa Valle
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Brusaporto
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Piacenza
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chievo and Tritium.
Our pick is Chievo to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Chievo vs Tritium?
On our numbers Chievo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tritium 12%.
How many goals will there be in Chievo vs Tritium?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chievo vs Tritium?
Our predicted score is Chievo 2–0 Tritium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chievo vs Tritium?
Chievo vs Tritium (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
