Serie D Girone A · ItalyLascaris vs Fezzanese prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Lascaris to win @ 1.89 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lascaris 1.6 – 0.6 Fezzanese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lascaris are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 13% for Fezzanese.
Lascaris have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Fezzanese have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.0 conceded. Lascaris come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.6 for Lascaris, 0.6 for Fezzanese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.28. For a bigger price, Lascaris to win at 1.89 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lascaris to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.89 ▲ |
| Double chance | Lascaris or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.76 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lascaris / FT Lascaris ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.66 | – |
Form
Lascaris – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Alessandria | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Asti | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Imperia | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Millesimo | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Sestri Levante | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Valenzana | 1–0 | W |
Fezzanese – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Millesimo | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Alessandria | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Valenzana | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Imperia | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Gozzano | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Sestri Levante | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lascaris and Fezzanese.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lascaris vs Fezzanese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lascaris vs Fezzanese?
On our numbers Lascaris have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fezzanese 13%.
How many goals will there be in Lascaris vs Fezzanese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Lascaris vs Fezzanese?
Lascaris vs Fezzanese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.