Serie D Girone A · Italy · Giuseppe SivoriSestri Levante vs Saluzzo prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sestri Levante 1.3 – 1.1 Saluzzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sestri Levante hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 34% for Saluzzo.
Sestri Levante have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Saluzzo have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Sestri Levante come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Sestri Levante, 1.1 for Saluzzo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.73.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sestri Levante to win ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sestri Levante / FT Sestri Levante ✗ | 23% | 4.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.38 | – |
Form
Sestri Levante – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Sanremese | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Celle Varazze | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Pistoiese | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Borgosesia | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Biellese | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Lascaris | 1–1 | D |
Saluzzo – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Chisola | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Bra | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Valenzana | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Ligorna | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Derthona | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Sanremese | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestri Levante and Saluzzo.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo?
On our numbers Sestri Levante have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Saluzzo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo?
Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Sivori.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.