Serie D Girone A · ItalyImperia vs Celle Varazze prediction & analysis
Imperia to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Imperia 2.0 – 0.6 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Imperia are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 10% for Celle Varazze.
Imperia have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Celle Varazze have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.3 conceded. Imperia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (2.0 for Imperia, 0.6 for Celle Varazze). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (14%), 3–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Imperia have won 0, Celle Varazze have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Imperia to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Imperia to win ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.57 ▲ |
| Double chance | Imperia or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Imperia ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Imperia / FT Imperia ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 6.99 | – |
Form
Imperia – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Borgosesia | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Biellese | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Lascaris | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | @ Alessandria | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Fezzanese | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Asti | 1–2 | L |
Celle Varazze – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Gozzano | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Sestri Levante | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Bra | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Chisola | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Ligorna | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Saluzzo | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 3 May 2026 | Imperia v Celle Varazze | 0–1 |
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Imperia vs Celle Varazze?
Our pick is Imperia to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Imperia vs Celle Varazze?
On our numbers Imperia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celle Varazze 10%.
How many goals will there be in Imperia vs Celle Varazze?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Imperia vs Celle Varazze?
Imperia vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.