Serie D Girone A · Italy · Stadio Attilio BraviBra vs Derthona prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bra 1.4 – 1.1 Derthona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bra hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 33% for Derthona.
Bra have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Derthona have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for Bra, 1.1 for Derthona). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.88.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bra to win ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | 2.30 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bra / FT Bra ✗ | 25% | 3.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.62 | – |
Form
Bra – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Ligorna | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Saluzzo | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Celle Varazze | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Sanremese | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Borgosesia | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Biellese | 0–1 | L |
Derthona – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Asti | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Chisola | 2–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Alessandria | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Saluzzo | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Millesimo | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Ligorna | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bra and Derthona.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bra vs Derthona?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bra vs Derthona?
On our numbers Bra have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Derthona 33%.
How many goals will there be in Bra vs Derthona?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Bra vs Derthona?
Bra vs Derthona (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Attilio Bravi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.