Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Hapoel Beit Shean to win @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Beit Shean to win ✓50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.85
Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Alef sees Hapoel Beit Shean take on Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Wednesday 30 September, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). Hapoel Beit Shean are 7th with 32 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hapoel Beit Shean's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Tzeirey Tamra 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ironi Baka El Garbiya's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Hapoel Beit Shean and 1.1 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Hapoel Beit Shean to win at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Hapoel Beit Shean 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Beit Shean50%fair 2.00 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.40
Ironi Baka El Garbiya29%fair 3.40 · @2.70
2.60Expected goals
1.52Hapoel Beit Shean xG
1.08Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Beit Shean 1.5 – 1.1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Beit Shean to win✓
50%
2.00
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Beit Shean / FT Hapoel Beit Shean✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.85
–
Form
Hapoel Beit Shean – last 3
LDW
23 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Tira
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 6
WDLDDL
23 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3–3
D
9 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Ironi Nesher
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Beit Shean and Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
On our numbers Hapoel Beit Shean have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya 29%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Beit Shean 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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