Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTzeirei Umm al-Fahm to win39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.78
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Alef sees Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel take on Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Wednesday 30 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT). Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel are 15th with 12 points from 21 games (in the bottom three), while Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Ironi Nesher 1–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel and 1.5 for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 64%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1–1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm39%fair 2.54 · @2.60
3.00Expected goals
1.48Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel xG
1.52Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1.5 – 1.5 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm to win
39%
2.54
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm / FT Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.78
–
Form
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel – last 5
LWLLD
23 Sep
@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya
1–3
L
18 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
4–1
W
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Hapoel Beit Shean
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm – last 6
LDDLWW
18 Sep
@ Ironi Nesher
1–5
L
10 Sep
vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
On our numbers Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1–1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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