Value bet: Hapoel Herzliya to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaccabi Kiryat Malachi to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Herzliya travel to face Maccabi Kiryat Malachi in the Liga Alef on Wednesday 30 September (14:00 WAT). Maccabi Kiryat Malachi are 5th with 35 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th on 22 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Dimona 5–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Hapoel Herzliya's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Tzeirey Tira 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi and 1.3 for Hapoel Herzliya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Hapoel Herzliya to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1–1 Hapoel Herzliya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Hapoel Herzliya35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
2.75Expected goals
1.43Maccabi Kiryat Malachi xG
1.32Hapoel Herzliya xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1.4 – 1.3 Hapoel Herzliya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi to win✗
41%
2.46
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Kiryat Malachi / FT Maccabi Kiryat Malachi✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.92
–
Form
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi – last 6
WWWDWD
23 Sep
@ Dimona
5–1
W
18 Sep
vs Hapoel Azor
3–0
W
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Sderot
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Beitar Yavne
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Marmorek
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Herzliya – last 6
WDWWLD
23 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tira
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Yavne
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Nordia Jerusalem
3–1
W
3 Sep
@ Maccabi Ashdod
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Beitar Yavne
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Hapoel Marmorek
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Kiryat Malachi and Hapoel Herzliya.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
On our numbers Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hapoel Herzliya 35%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1–1 Hapoel Herzliya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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