Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Hapoel Hadera to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Hadera to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceHapoel Hadera or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.01
Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera preview and prediction
The match
Nordia Jerusalem host Hapoel Hadera in the Liga Alef on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 17:50 (WAT).
Form guide
Nordia Jerusalem's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Ironi Beit Shemesh 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Hapoel Hadera's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Maccabi Ashdod 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Hapoel Hadera arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Nordia Jerusalem and 1.8 for Hapoel Hadera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 44%.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hapoel Hadera to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nordia Jerusalem 0–1 Hapoel Hadera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nordia Jerusalem10%fair 9.81 · @4.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.70
Hapoel Hadera66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
2.38Expected goals
0.58Nordia Jerusalem xG
1.80Hapoel Hadera xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
1–110%
0–09%
0–39%
1–29%
From our goals model: Nordia Jerusalem 0.6 – 1.8 Hapoel Hadera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Hadera to win✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Hapoel Hadera or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Hadera ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Hadera / FT Hapoel Hadera✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.01
–
Form
Nordia Jerusalem – last 6
LLLLLL
23 Sep
@ Ironi Beit Shemesh
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs FC Jerusalem
1–3
L
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Herzliya
1–3
L
3 Sep
vs Dimona
0–2
L
26 Feb
@ Hapoel Azor
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs FC Jerusalem
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Hadera – last 6
DWDLLD
24 Sep
vs Maccabi Ashdod
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Kfar Saba 1928
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
2–2
D
4 Sep
@ Hapoel Marmorek
0–1
L
25 May
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1–6
L
19 May
@ Hapoel Acre
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nordia Jerusalem and Hapoel Hadera.
What is the prediction for Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera?
Our pick is Hapoel Hadera to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera?
On our numbers Nordia Jerusalem have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hapoel Hadera 66%.
How many goals will there be in Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera?
Our predicted score is Nordia Jerusalem 0–1 Hapoel Hadera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera?
Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:50 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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