Cagliari host Arezzo in the Coppa Italia on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Unipol Domus.
Form guide
Cagliari's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Nice 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arezzo's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Union Brescia 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Cagliari and 0.6 for Arezzo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cagliari 65%, draw 21%, Arezzo 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Cagliari 1–0 Arezzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cagliari65%fair 1.53 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.65
Arezzo13%fair 7.54 · @9.00
2.45Expected goals
1.80Cagliari xG
0.65Arezzo xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cagliari 1.8 – 0.6 Arezzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✓
65%
1.53
1.35
Double chance
Cagliari or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.42
Half-time result
Cagliari ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.43
–
Form
Cagliari – last 6
DDWDWW
8 Aug
vs Nice
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Union Berlin
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs Modena
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Sampdoria
0–0
D
24 May
@ AC Milan
2–1
W
17 May
vs Torino
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arezzo – last 6
WDLDWW
9 Aug
vs Union Brescia
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Parma
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Albinoleffe
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Napoli
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Torres
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cagliari and Arezzo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Cagliari vs Arezzo?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arezzo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Arezzo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Arezzo?
Our predicted score is Cagliari 1–0 Arezzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cagliari vs Arezzo?
Cagliari vs Arezzo (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Parma2
Catania0
Monza3
Avellino0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1