Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultParma to win ✓70% · @1.29
Double chanceParma or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.02
Parma vs Catania preview and prediction
The match
Catania travel to Stadio Ennio Tardini in the Coppa Italia on Friday 14 August (17:00 WAT) to face Parma.
Form guide
Parma's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Sampdoria 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Catania's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Vicenza Virtus 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Parma and 0.8 for Catania. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Parma 70%, draw 17%, Catania 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Parma 2–0 Catania. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parma70%fair 1.42 · @1.29
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @4.85
Catania12%fair 8.07 · @11.50
2.95Expected goals
2.18Parma xG
0.77Catania xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Parma 2.2 – 0.8 Catania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parma to win✓
70%
1.42
1.29
Double chance
Parma or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Half-time result
Parma ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parma / FT Parma✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.02
–
Form
Parma – last 6
LDDWLL
9 Aug
vs Sampdoria
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–1
D
24 May
vs Sassuolo
1–0
W
17 May
@ Como
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Catania – last 6
DWLDDL
8 Aug
@ Vicenza Virtus
1–1
D
27 May
vs Ascoli
2–1
W
24 May
@ Ascoli
0–4
L
20 May
vs Lecco
3–3
D
17 May
@ Lecco
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Crotone
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Catania.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Parma vs Catania?
On our numbers Parma have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Catania 12%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Catania?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Catania?
Our predicted score is Parma 2–0 Catania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Catania?
Parma vs Catania (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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