Avellino travel to face Monza in the Coppa Italia on Friday 14 August (19:45 WAT).
Form guide
Monza's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Padova 3–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Avellino's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Torino 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Monza and 0.7 for Avellino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monza 65%, draw 19%, Avellino 16%.
Safer route: Monza or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Monza 1–0 Avellino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monza65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @3.75
Avellino16%fair 6.26 · @5.30
2.57Expected goals
1.84Monza xG
0.73Avellino xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Monza 1.8 – 0.7 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monza to win✓
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Monza or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Monza ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monza / FT Monza✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.11
–
Form
Monza – last 6
DLWWLW
7 Aug
vs Padova
3–3
D
30 Jul
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–3
L
24 Jul
@ Galatasaray
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs PRO Vercelli
4–3
W
29 May
vs Catanzaro
0–2
L
24 May
@ Catanzaro
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 6
DLWWLW
8 Aug
vs Torino
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Lazio
3–6
L
26 Jul
@ Sambenedettese
5–0
W
22 Jul
vs Scafatese
3–1
W
12 May
@ Catanzaro
0–3
L
8 May
vs Modena
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Avellino.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Monza vs Avellino?
On our numbers Monza have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Avellino 16%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–0 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Avellino?
Monza vs Avellino (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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