Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31 prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Harkemase Boys or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
1
Value bet: Harkemase Boys to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarkemase Boys to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceHarkemase Boys or draw ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31 preview and prediction
The match
Harkemase Boys host Excelsior '31 in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT). Harkemase Boys are 3rd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Excelsior '31 sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Harkemase Boys's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Dovo 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Excelsior '31's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat SC Genemuiden 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Excelsior '31 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Harkemase Boys 0–1 Excelsior '31.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Harkemase Boys and 1.3 for Excelsior '31. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harkemase Boys 56%, draw 23%, Excelsior '31 21%.
Safer route: Harkemase Boys or draw (79%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Harkemase Boys to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Harkemase Boys or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Harkemase Boys 2–1 Excelsior '31. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harkemase Boys56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.10
Excelsior '3121%fair 4.73 · @2.88
3.48Expected goals
2.18Harkemase Boys xG
1.30Excelsior '31 xG
55%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Harkemase Boys 2.2 – 1.3 Excelsior '31 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
Our pick is Harkemase Boys or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
On our numbers Harkemase Boys have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Excelsior '31 21%.
How many goals will there be in Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
Our predicted score is Harkemase Boys 2–1 Excelsior '31, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31 (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
