Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsRoosendaal vs Gemert prediction & analysis
Roosendaal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Roosendaal 2.4 – 1.3 Gemert expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Roosendaal are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 22% for Gemert.
Roosendaal have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 3.2 per game. Gemert have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Gemert come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.4 for Roosendaal, 1.3 for Gemert). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Roosendaal have won 0, Gemert have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Roosendaal to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Roosendaal to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time result | Roosendaal ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Roosendaal / FT Roosendaal ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.82 | – |
Form
Roosendaal – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ EVV | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Zwaluwen | 2–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ TOGB | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Vvsb | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Eemdijk | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Excelsior Maassluis | 0–5 | L |
Gemert – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Achilles Veen | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Noordwijk | 0–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs FC Lisse | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Groene Ster | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | @ Ijsselmeervogels | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs UDI '19 | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 22 Feb 2026 | Roosendaal v Gemert | 3–3 |
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Roosendaal vs Gemert?
Our pick is Roosendaal to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Roosendaal vs Gemert?
On our numbers Roosendaal have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Gemert 22%.
How many goals will there be in Roosendaal vs Gemert?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Roosendaal vs Gemert?
Roosendaal vs Gemert (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.