Value bet: Harkemase Boys to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarkemase Boys to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.88
Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen preview and prediction
The match
The Derde Divisie Saturday sees Harkemase Boys take on Hoogeveen on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT). Harkemase Boys are 3rd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Hoogeveen sit 12th on 14 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Harkemase Boys's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Purmersteijn 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hoogeveen's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat SC Genemuiden 5–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.4 for Harkemase Boys and 1.3 for Hoogeveen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harkemase Boys 63%, draw 17%, Hoogeveen 20%.
Value angle: Harkemase Boys to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Harkemase Boys 2–1 Hoogeveen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harkemase Boys63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @4.20
Hoogeveen20%fair 4.95 · @3.30
3.74Expected goals
2.43Harkemase Boys xG
1.31Hoogeveen xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Harkemase Boys 2.4 – 1.3 Hoogeveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harkemase Boys to win✓
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Harkemase Boys ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harkemase Boys / FT Harkemase Boys✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.88
–
Form
Harkemase Boys – last 6
LDWDWL
3 Oct
@ Purmersteijn
2–4
L
26 Sep
vs VV Scherpenzeel
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ SVZW
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Staphorst
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Eemdijk
2–1
W
1 Sep
vs Excelsior '31
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hoogeveen – last 6
WWLLWD
3 Oct
vs SC Genemuiden
5–3
W
27 Sep
@ ADO '20
5–1
W
22 Sep
@ ACV
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Excelsior '31
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Dovo
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Sportlust '46
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harkemase Boys and Hoogeveen.
What is the prediction for Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?
On our numbers Harkemase Boys have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hoogeveen 20%.
How many goals will there be in Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?
Our predicted score is Harkemase Boys 2–1 Hoogeveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?
Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
