Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsVvsb vs Blauw Geel prediction & analysis
Vvsb to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vvsb 2.1 – 1.0 Blauw Geel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Vvsb are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 21% for Blauw Geel.
Vvsb have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Blauw Geel have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 for Vvsb, 1.0 for Blauw Geel). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Vvsb to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vvsb to win ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Half-time result | Vvsb ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vvsb / FT Vvsb ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.07 | – |
Form
Vvsb – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Excelsior Maassluis | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Roosendaal | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | @ Rijnvogels | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Achilles Veen | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Noordwijk | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs FC Lisse | 1–2 | L |
Blauw Geel – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs UNA | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Excelsior Maassluis | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Dongen | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Roosendaal | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs GOES | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Sportlust '46 | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vvsb and Blauw Geel.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vvsb vs Blauw Geel?
Our pick is Vvsb to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Vvsb vs Blauw Geel?
On our numbers Vvsb have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Blauw Geel 21%.
How many goals will there be in Vvsb vs Blauw Geel?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Vvsb vs Blauw Geel?
Vvsb vs Blauw Geel (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.