Value bet: TEC to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTEC to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Staphorst vs TEC preview and prediction
The match
TEC travel to face Staphorst in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Saturday 3 October (13:30 WAT). Staphorst are 15th with 9 points from 12 games (in the top half), while TEC sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Staphorst's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Sparta Nijkerk 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
TEC's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Eemdijk 7–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.3 goals a game.
TEC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.5 for Staphorst and 2.5 for TEC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Staphorst 25%, draw 12%, TEC 63%.
Value angle: TEC to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Staphorst 1–2 TEC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Staphorst25%fair 3.98 · @2.80
Draw12%fair 8.63 · @4.00
TEC63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
3.98Expected goals
1.48Staphorst xG
2.50TEC xG
57%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Staphorst 1.5 – 2.5 TEC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TEC to win✓
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
TEC ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TEC / FT TEC✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Staphorst – last 6
LLLDLD
26 Sep
@ Sparta Nijkerk
2–3
L
22 Sep
vs SC Genemuiden
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs ACV
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Harkemase Boys
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs SC Genemuiden
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs UNA
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
TEC – last 6
WDWDWW
26 Sep
vs Eemdijk
7–2
W
23 Sep
@ JOS Watergraafsmeer
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Hercules
4–2
W
12 Sep
vs DVS 33 Ermelo
4–4
D
6 Sep
@ Hollandia
5–4
W
1 Sep
vs Almkerk
4–2
W
4.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Staphorst and TEC.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Staphorst vs TEC?
On our numbers Staphorst have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 12% and TEC 63%.
How many goals will there be in Staphorst vs TEC?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Staphorst vs TEC?
Our predicted score is Staphorst 1–2 TEC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Staphorst vs TEC?
Staphorst vs TEC (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
