Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsEVV vs Noordwijk prediction & analysis
Noordwijk to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: EVV 1.1 – 2.0 Noordwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Noordwijk travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 22% for EVV.
EVV have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Noordwijk have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. Noordwijk come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.1 for EVV, 2.0 for Noordwijk). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Noordwijk to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Noordwijk to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Half-time result | Noordwijk ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Noordwijk / FT Noordwijk ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.06 | – |
Form
EVV – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ FC Lisse | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Halsteren | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Groene Ster | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ UDI '19 | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Poortugaal | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Hercules | 3–1 | W |
Noordwijk – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Zwaluwen | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Frisia | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ TOGB | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Vvsb | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Excelsior Maassluis | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Sep | @ GOES | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EVV and Noordwijk.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for EVV vs Noordwijk?
Our pick is Noordwijk to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win EVV vs Noordwijk?
On our numbers EVV have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Noordwijk 62%.
How many goals will there be in EVV vs Noordwijk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is EVV vs Noordwijk?
EVV vs Noordwijk (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.