Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsHoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden prediction & analysis
SC Genemuiden to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hoogeveen 1.3 – 2.2 SC Genemuiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
SC Genemuiden travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 24% for Hoogeveen.
Hoogeveen have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. SC Genemuiden have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. SC Genemuiden come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.3 for Hoogeveen, 2.2 for SC Genemuiden). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Hoogeveen have won 1, SC Genemuiden have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is SC Genemuiden to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | SC Genemuiden to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Half-time result | SC Genemuiden ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT SC Genemuiden / FT SC Genemuiden ✗ | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.48 | – |
Form
Hoogeveen – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ ADO '20 | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ ACV | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Excelsior '31 | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Dovo | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Sportlust '46 | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Sep | vs SVZW | 1–1 | D |
SC Genemuiden – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Purmersteijn | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Staphorst | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ VV Scherpenzeel | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs SVZW | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Staphorst | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs FC Lisse | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 23 May 2026 | Hoogeveen v SC Genemuiden | 2–1 |
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?
Our pick is SC Genemuiden to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?
On our numbers Hoogeveen have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 15% and SC Genemuiden 61%.
How many goals will there be in Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden?
Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.