Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGroene Ster to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen preview and prediction
The match
Groene Ster host Zwaluwen in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT). Groene Ster are 16th with 9 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Zwaluwen sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Groene Ster's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with TOGB 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Zwaluwen's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat UDI '19 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for Groene Ster and 1.8 for Zwaluwen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Groene Ster 2–1 Zwaluwen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Groene Ster40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.80
Zwaluwen39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
3.55Expected goals
1.78Groene Ster xG
1.77Zwaluwen xG
55%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Groene Ster 1.8 – 1.8 Zwaluwen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groene Ster to win✓
40%
2.51
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groene Ster / FT Groene Ster✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.40
–
Form
Groene Ster – last 6
DWDLLW
5 Sep
@ TOGB
3–3
D
2 Sep
vs Heerjansdam
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Vvsb
3–3
D
22 Aug
@ Excelsior Maassluis
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs Roosendaal
1–3
L
23 May
vs ASWH
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Zwaluwen – last 5
WWLDL
5 Sep
vs UDI '19
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Lierop
7–0
W
29 Aug
@ Poortugaal
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs UNA
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Dongen
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groene Ster and Zwaluwen.
What is the prediction for Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?
On our numbers Groene Ster have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zwaluwen 39%.
How many goals will there be in Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?
Our predicted score is Groene Ster 2–1 Zwaluwen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?
Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
