Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsHarkemase Boys vs Staphorst prediction & analysis
Harkemase Boys to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Harkemase Boys 2.2 – 1.2 Staphorst expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Harkemase Boys are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 25% for Staphorst.
Harkemase Boys have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Staphorst have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Harkemase Boys come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.2 for Harkemase Boys, 1.2 for Staphorst). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Harkemase Boys to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Harkemase Boys to win ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Half-time result | Harkemase Boys ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Harkemase Boys / FT Harkemase Boys ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.36 | – |
Form
Harkemase Boys – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Eemdijk | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Excelsior '31 | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Hercules | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ DVS 33 Ermelo | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Hollandia | 2–1 | W |
| 23 May | vs Sportlust '46 | 4–1 | W |
Staphorst – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs SC Genemuiden | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs UNA | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ ADO '20 | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Excelsior '31 | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Dovo | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Apr | vs Sportlust '46 | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harkemase Boys and Staphorst.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst?
Our pick is Harkemase Boys to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst?
On our numbers Harkemase Boys have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Staphorst 25%.
How many goals will there be in Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst?
Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.