Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsRoosendaal vs Blauw Geel prediction & analysis
Roosendaal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Roosendaal 2.0 – 1.0 Blauw Geel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Roosendaal are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 20% for Blauw Geel.
Roosendaal have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Blauw Geel have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Roosendaal come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Roosendaal, 1.0 for Blauw Geel). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–0 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Roosendaal have won 1, Blauw Geel have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Roosendaal to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.60.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Roosendaal to win ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Half-time result | Roosendaal ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Roosendaal / FT Roosendaal ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.70 | – |
Form
Roosendaal – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Achilles Veen | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ GSV 28 | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Noordwijk | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs FC Lisse | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ Groene Ster | 3–1 | W |
| 10 May | vs Blauw Geel | 2–1 | W |
Blauw Geel – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs GOES | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Sportlust '46 | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Achilles Veen | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Rijnvogels | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Noordwijk | 0–2 | L |
| 10 May | @ Roosendaal | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 10 May 2026 | Roosendaal v Blauw Geel | 2–1 |
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Roosendaal vs Blauw Geel?
Our pick is Roosendaal to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Roosendaal vs Blauw Geel?
On our numbers Roosendaal have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Blauw Geel 20%.
How many goals will there be in Roosendaal vs Blauw Geel?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Roosendaal vs Blauw Geel?
Roosendaal vs Blauw Geel (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.