Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey preview and prediction
The match
Torrijos host Quintanar del Rey in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT). Torrijos are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Quintanar del Rey sit 17th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Torrijos's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Socuéllamos 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Quintanar del Rey's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Illescas 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Torrijos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Torrijos and 1.3 for Quintanar del Rey. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torrijos 40%, draw 26%, Quintanar del Rey 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Torrijos 1–1 Quintanar del Rey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torrijos40%fair 2.50 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.75
Quintanar del Rey34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
2.67Expected goals
1.40Torrijos xG
1.27Quintanar del Rey xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Torrijos 1.4 – 1.3 Quintanar del Rey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torrijos to win✓
40%
2.50
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torrijos / FT Torrijos✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Torrijos – last 3
DWW
20 Sep
@ Socuéllamos
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Tarancón
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Guadalajara II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Quintanar del Rey – last 6
DDLWDW
20 Sep
vs Illescas
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Villarrobledo
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Toledo
2–4
L
3 May
@ Elche II
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs RSD Alcalá
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Intercity
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torrijos and Quintanar del Rey.
What is the prediction for Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
On our numbers Torrijos have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Quintanar del Rey 34%.
How many goals will there be in Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
Our predicted score is Torrijos 1–1 Quintanar del Rey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey?
Torrijos vs Quintanar del Rey (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
