Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultToledo to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chanceToledo or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Toledo vs La Solana preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 18 sees Toledo take on La Solana on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Toledo are 2nd with 22 points from 10 games (in the top four), while La Solana sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Toledo's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Noblejas 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
La Solana's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat San Clemente 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Toledo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished La Solana 0–0 Toledo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Toledo and 0.8 for La Solana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toledo 72%, draw 18%, La Solana 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 55% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toledo to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Toledo 2–0 La Solana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toledo72%fair 1.39 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.40
La Solana10%fair 10.35 · @10.00
3.17Expected goals
2.38Toledo xG
0.79La Solana xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
3–09%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Toledo 2.4 – 0.8 La Solana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Toledo to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Toledo vs La Solana?
On our numbers Toledo have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and La Solana 10%.
How many goals will there be in Toledo vs La Solana?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toledo vs La Solana?
Our predicted score is Toledo 2–0 La Solana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Toledo vs La Solana?
Toledo vs La Solana (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
