Value bet: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 preview and prediction
The match
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 travel to Stadio Carlo Zecchini in the Coppa Italia Serie C on Friday 14 August (20:00 WAT) to face Grosseto.
Form guide
Grosseto's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Terranuova Traiana 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Athletic Carpi 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Grosseto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Grosseto and 1.3 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Grosseto 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grosseto33%fair 3.02 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Guidonia Montecelio 193744%fair 2.26 · @2.45
2.36Expected goals
1.06Grosseto xG
1.29Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Grosseto 1.1 – 1.3 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win✓
44%
2.26
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
Grosseto – last 6
WLWLLL
8 Aug
vs Terranuova Traiana
3–1
W
29 Jul
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–2
L
17 May
@ Desenzano Calvina
1–0
W
13 May
vs Ostia Mare
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Prato
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 6
LLDLLL
26 Apr
vs Athletic Carpi
2–3
L
12 Apr
@ Juventus U23
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Campobasso FC
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Sambenedettese
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Torres
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Gubbio
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grosseto and Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
What is the prediction for Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
On our numbers Grosseto have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 44%.
How many goals will there be in Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Our predicted score is Grosseto 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Zecchini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.