Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Casertana to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCasertana to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceCasertana or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Casertana vs Savoia preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia Serie C sees Casertana take on Savoia on Friday 14 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Alberto Pinto.
Form guide
Casertana's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Salernitana 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Savoia's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Scafatese 1–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Savoia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Casertana and 0.7 for Savoia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Casertana 61%, draw 23%, Savoia 16%.
Safer route: Casertana or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Casertana to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Casertana or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Casertana 1–0 Savoia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Casertana61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Savoia16%fair 6.26 · @3.50
2.36Expected goals
1.66Casertana xG
0.70Savoia xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Casertana 1.7 – 0.7 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casertana to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Casertana or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Casertana / FT Casertana✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.36
–
Form
Casertana – last 6
DDWDWL
13 May
@ Salernitana
1–1
D
6 May
vs Crotone
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs SS Monopoli
2–1
W
9 Mar
@ Catania
0–0
D
5 Mar
vs Salernitana
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Siracusa
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Savoia – last 6
LWWWWW
13 May
vs Scafatese
1–4
L
3 May
vs Sancataldese
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ AC Palermo
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Igea Virtus
3–0
W
2 Apr
vs Messina
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Ragusa
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casertana and Savoia.
Our pick is Casertana or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Casertana vs Savoia?
On our numbers Casertana have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Savoia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Casertana vs Savoia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casertana vs Savoia?
Our predicted score is Casertana 1–0 Savoia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Casertana vs Savoia?
Casertana vs Savoia (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AZ Picerno2
Barletta1
Audace Cerignola1
SS Monopoli1
Grosseto2
Guidonia Montecelio 19373
Pineto1
Gubbio2
PRO Vercelli1
Pergolettese1
Trento2
Ospitaletto1
Vado1
Inter U231