Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: SS Monopoli to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSS Monopoli to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.85
Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli preview and prediction
The match
SS Monopoli travel to Stadio Domenico Monterisi in the Coppa Italia Serie C on Friday 14 August (20:00 WAT) to face Audace Cerignola.
Form guide
Audace Cerignola's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Latina 1–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
SS Monopoli's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Lecce 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Audace Cerignola arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Audace Cerignola and 1.2 for SS Monopoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Audace Cerignola 36%, draw 25%, SS Monopoli 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: SS Monopoli to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Audace Cerignola 1–1 SS Monopoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Audace Cerignola36%fair 2.76 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
SS Monopoli39%fair 2.55 · @3.10
2.29Expected goals
1.11Audace Cerignola xG
1.17SS Monopoli xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Audace Cerignola 1.1 – 1.2 SS Monopoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Monopoli to win✗
39%
2.55
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Monopoli / FT SS Monopoli✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.85
–
Form
Audace Cerignola – last 6
DLWWLW
6 Apr
vs Latina
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Crotone
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Giugliano
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sorrento
3–2
W
9 Mar
@ Atalanta II
2–3
L
5 Mar
vs Trapani 1905
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SS Monopoli – last 6
LLDDWL
9 Aug
@ Lecce
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Atalanta II
0–2
L
4 Apr
vs Trapani 1905
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ AZ Picerno
0–0
D
23 Mar
vs Benevento
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Casertana
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Audace Cerignola and SS Monopoli.
What is the prediction for Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?
On our numbers Audace Cerignola have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and SS Monopoli 39%.
How many goals will there be in Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?
Our predicted score is Audace Cerignola 1–1 SS Monopoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?
Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Monterisi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.