Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSorrento to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Sorrento vs Casarano preview and prediction
The match
Casarano travel to Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio in the Serie C Girone C on Saturday 3 October (13:30 WAT) to face Sorrento. Sorrento are 9th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Casarano sit 17th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sorrento's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Foggia 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Casarano's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to SS Monopoli 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Sorrento and 1.3 for Casarano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Sorrento 1–1 Casarano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sorrento44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.30
Casarano35%fair 2.85 · @2.50
2.71Expected goals
1.46Sorrento xG
1.25Casarano xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sorrento 1.5 – 1.3 Casarano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sorrento to win✓
44%
2.26
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sorrento / FT Sorrento✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Sorrento – last 6
LLWWWW
27 Sep
@ Foggia
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Bari
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Cavese
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs AZ Picerno
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Giugliano
2–0
W
2 Sep
vs Cosenza
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Casarano – last 6
LDWWLW
27 Sep
vs SS Monopoli
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Savoia
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Audace Cerignola
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Barletta
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Bari
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Giugliano
4–3
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sorrento and Casarano.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sorrento vs Casarano?
On our numbers Sorrento have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Casarano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sorrento vs Casarano?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sorrento vs Casarano?
Our predicted score is Sorrento 1–1 Casarano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sorrento vs Casarano?
Sorrento vs Casarano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
