Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Angelo MassiminoCatania vs Crotone prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Catania 1.8 – 0.9 Crotone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Catania are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 21% for Crotone.
Catania have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Crotone have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Catania come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Catania, 0.9 for Crotone). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Catania have won 0, Crotone have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Catania to win ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Catania ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Catania / FT Catania ✗ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.37 | – |
Form
Catania – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Casertana | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Barletta | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ AZ Picerno | 4–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Scafatese | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Cosenza | 4–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Savoia | 0–3 | L |
Crotone – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Salernitana | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ SS Monopoli | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Inter U23 | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Savoia | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Barletta | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Sorrento | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 13 Apr 2026 | Crotone v Catania | 2–0 |
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Catania vs Crotone?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Catania vs Crotone?
On our numbers Catania have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Crotone 21%.
How many goals will there be in Catania vs Crotone?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Catania vs Crotone?
Catania vs Crotone (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.