Value bet: SS Monopoli to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSS Monopoli to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceSS Monopoli or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.95
SS Monopoli vs Savoia preview and prediction
The match
SS Monopoli host Savoia in the Serie C Girone C on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani. SS Monopoli are 6th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Savoia sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
SS Monopoli's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Casarano 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Savoia's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Cavese 2–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for SS Monopoli and 0.6 for Savoia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: SS Monopoli 64%, draw 21%, Savoia 15%.
Safer route: SS Monopoli or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Value angle: SS Monopoli to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: SS Monopoli 1–0 Savoia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SS Monopoli64%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Savoia15%fair 6.80 · @4.33
2.30Expected goals
1.68SS Monopoli xG
0.62Savoia xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: SS Monopoli 1.7 – 0.6 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Monopoli to win✗
64%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
SS Monopoli or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Monopoli / FT SS Monopoli✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.95
–
Form
SS Monopoli – last 6
WDDWLD
27 Sep
@ Casarano
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Crotone
2–2
D
15 Sep
@ Scafatese
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Foggia
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Potenza
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Potenza
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Savoia – last 6
LDDDWW
26 Sep
@ Cavese
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Casarano
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Foggia
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Crotone
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Team Altamura
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Catania
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Monopoli and Savoia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Savoia?
On our numbers SS Monopoli have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Savoia 15%.
How many goals will there be in SS Monopoli vs Savoia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Monopoli vs Savoia?
Our predicted score is SS Monopoli 1–0 Savoia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is SS Monopoli vs Savoia?
SS Monopoli vs Savoia (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
