Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCasertana to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Cavese vs Casertana preview and prediction
The match
Cavese host Casertana in the Serie C Girone C on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti. Cavese are 11th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Casertana sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cavese's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Savoia 4–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Casertana's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Catania 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Casertana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.5 for Cavese and 1.9 for Casertana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cavese 32%, draw 22%, Casertana 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cavese 1–1 Casertana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cavese32%fair 3.14 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
Casertana46%fair 2.16 · @2.20
3.43Expected goals
1.54Cavese xG
1.89Casertana xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Cavese 1.5 – 1.9 Casertana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casertana to win✗
46%
2.16
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Casertana / FT Casertana✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.23
–
Form
Cavese – last 6
WLLDDW
26 Sep
vs Savoia
4–2
W
20 Sep
@ Potenza
2–4
L
15 Sep
vs Sorrento
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Cosenza
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Salernitana
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Audace Cerignola
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Casertana – last 6
LDWWDW
27 Sep
vs Catania
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Audace Cerignola
0–0
D
15 Sep
vs Team Altamura
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Inter U23
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs Scafatese
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Savoia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cavese and Casertana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cavese vs Casertana?
On our numbers Cavese have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Casertana 46%.
How many goals will there be in Cavese vs Casertana?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cavese vs Casertana?
Our predicted score is Cavese 1–1 Casertana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Cavese vs Casertana?
Cavese vs Casertana (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
