Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
1
Value bet: AZ Picerno to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAZ Picerno to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
AZ Picerno vs Catania preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone C sees AZ Picerno take on Catania on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. AZ Picerno are 10th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Catania sit 3rd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AZ Picerno's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Sorrento 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Catania's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Scafatese 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
AZ Picerno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Catania 1–2 AZ Picerno.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for AZ Picerno and 1.5 for Catania. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AZ Picerno 39%, draw 26%, Catania 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.91.
Value angle: AZ Picerno to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AZ Picerno 1–1 Catania. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AZ Picerno39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
Catania35%fair 2.84 · @2.30
3.13Expected goals
1.61AZ Picerno xG
1.52Catania xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: AZ Picerno 1.6 – 1.5 Catania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win AZ Picerno vs Catania?
On our numbers AZ Picerno have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Catania 35%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Picerno vs Catania?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Picerno vs Catania?
Our predicted score is AZ Picerno 1–1 Catania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AZ Picerno vs Catania?
AZ Picerno vs Catania (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
