Value bet: Inter U23 to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCrotone to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Crotone vs Inter U23 preview and prediction
The match
Crotone host Inter U23 in the Serie C Girone C on Tuesday 15 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Ezio Scida. Crotone are 20th with 1 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Inter U23 sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Crotone's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Savoia 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Inter U23's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Casertana 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Inter U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Crotone and 1.3 for Inter U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crotone 40%, draw 26%, Inter U23 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Inter U23 to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Crotone 1–1 Inter U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crotone40%fair 2.52 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Inter U2335%fair 2.87 · @3.25
2.64Expected goals
1.37Crotone xG
1.27Inter U23 xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crotone 1.4 – 1.3 Inter U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crotone to win✗
40%
2.52
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crotone / FT Crotone✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Crotone – last 6
DDLLLD
12 Sep
@ Savoia
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Barletta
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Sorrento
0–1
L
24 Aug
vs Foggia
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Cosenza
0–2
L
6 May
@ Casertana
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Inter U23 – last 6
LLDWDD
12 Sep
vs Casertana
2–3
L
7 Sep
@ AZ Picerno
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Team Altamura
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Catania
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Vado
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Pergolettese
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crotone and Inter U23.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Crotone vs Inter U23?
On our numbers Crotone have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Inter U23 35%.
How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Inter U23?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Inter U23?
Our predicted score is Crotone 1–1 Inter U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crotone vs Inter U23?
Crotone vs Inter U23 (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
