Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio San NicolaBari vs Potenza prediction & analysis
Bari or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bari 2.0 – 1.1 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bari hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 20% for Potenza.
Bari have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Potenza have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 for Bari, 1.1 for Potenza). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).
Our pick is Bari or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.24.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bari to win ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | Bari or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time result | Bari ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bari / FT Bari ✗ | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.10 | – |
Form
Bari – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ Team Altamura | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Casarano | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs AZ Picerno | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Barletta | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Cavese | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Casarano | 1–0 | W |
Potenza – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ Salernitana | 2–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs SS Monopoli | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs SS Monopoli | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Cosenza | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Casarano | 4–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Ascoli | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bari and Potenza.
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bari vs Potenza?
Our pick is Bari or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bari vs Potenza?
On our numbers Bari have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Potenza 20%.
How many goals will there be in Bari vs Potenza?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Bari vs Potenza?
Bari vs Potenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.