Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1
Value bet: Vis Pesaro to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 preview and prediction
The match
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 travel to Tonino Benelli in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 27 September (16:30 WAT) to face Vis Pesaro. Vis Pesaro are 20th with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vis Pesaro's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Spezia 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Livorno 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Vis Pesaro and 1.6 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Vis Pesaro to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vis Pesaro 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vis Pesaro32%fair 3.17 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Guidonia Montecelio 193745%fair 2.21 · @2.00
2.83Expected goals
1.26Vis Pesaro xG
1.57Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Vis Pesaro 1.3 – 1.6 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win✗
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Form
Vis Pesaro – last 6
LLLLLD
21 Sep
@ Spezia
1–3
L
16 Sep
vs Reggiana
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Forli
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Ostia Mare
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Gubbio
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Perugia
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 6
DDDWLW
21 Sep
vs Livorno
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Latina
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Reggiana
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Pianese
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Atalanta II
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Gubbio
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vis Pesaro and Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
What is the prediction for Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
On our numbers Vis Pesaro have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 45%.
How many goals will there be in Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Our predicted score is Vis Pesaro 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Vis Pesaro vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Tonino Benelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
