Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Forli to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultForli to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Ostia Mare vs Forli preview and prediction
The match
Ostia Mare host Forli in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio. Ostia Mare are 18th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Forli sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ostia Mare's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Gubbio 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Forli's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Torres 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Ostia Mare and 1.5 for Forli. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ostia Mare 38%, draw 24%, Forli 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Forli to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Ostia Mare 1–1 Forli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ostia Mare38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Forli38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
3.08Expected goals
1.54Ostia Mare xG
1.54Forli xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ostia Mare 1.5 – 1.5 Forli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forli to win✗
38%
2.63
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forli / FT Forli✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.91
–
Form
Ostia Mare – last 6
WLLWLL
20 Sep
@ Gubbio
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Ravenna
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Torres
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Grosseto
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Perugia
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Forli – last 6
DDWLLW
19 Sep
vs Torres
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Pineto
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Latina
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Ravenna
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Pescara
6–3
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ostia Mare and Forli.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Forli?
On our numbers Ostia Mare have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Forli 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ostia Mare vs Forli?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ostia Mare vs Forli?
Our predicted score is Ostia Mare 1–1 Forli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ostia Mare vs Forli?
Ostia Mare vs Forli (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
