Value bet: Spezia to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpezia to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.58
Pescara vs Spezia preview and prediction
The match
Pescara host Spezia in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia. Pescara are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Spezia sit 1st on 35 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pescara's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Vado 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spezia's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Vis Pesaro 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spezia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Pescara 1–1 Spezia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Pescara and 1.5 for Spezia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pescara 31%, draw 22%, Spezia 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Spezia to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Pescara 1–1 Spezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pescara31%fair 3.22 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Spezia47%fair 2.13 · @2.30
2.67Expected goals
1.16Pescara xG
1.51Spezia xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pescara 1.2 – 1.5 Spezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Pescara vs Spezia?
On our numbers Pescara have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spezia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Pescara vs Spezia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pescara vs Spezia?
Our predicted score is Pescara 1–1 Spezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pescara vs Spezia?
Pescara vs Spezia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
