Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lecco to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLecco to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceLecco or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.01
Lecco vs Folgore Caratese preview and prediction
The match
Lecco host Folgore Caratese in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi. Lecco are 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Folgore Caratese sit 20th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lecco's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat PRO Vercelli 5–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Folgore Caratese's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Treviso 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Lecco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Lecco and 0.7 for Folgore Caratese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Lecco to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lecco or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lecco 1–0 Folgore Caratese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecco61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @2.90
Folgore Caratese17%fair 5.86 · @3.75
2.25Expected goals
1.58Lecco xG
0.67Folgore Caratese xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lecco 1.6 – 0.7 Folgore Caratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✗
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Lecco or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.01
–
Form
Lecco – last 6
WDDLDW
16 Oct
@ PRO Vercelli
5–0
W
11 Oct
vs Alcione
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Union Brescia
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Cittadella
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Pergolettese
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Desenzano Calvina
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Folgore Caratese – last 6
LLLWDD
17 Oct
vs Treviso
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Trento
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Lumezzane
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Giana Erminio
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Pergolettese
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Folgore Caratese.
What is the prediction for Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
Our pick is Lecco or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
On our numbers Lecco have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Folgore Caratese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
Our predicted score is Lecco 1–0 Folgore Caratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
Lecco vs Folgore Caratese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
