Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Albinoleffe to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbinoleffe to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Renate vs Albinoleffe preview and prediction
The match
Albinoleffe travel to Mino Favini in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 25 October (12:30 WAT) to face Renate. Renate are 17th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Albinoleffe sit 9th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Renate's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Juventus U23 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Albinoleffe's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Novara 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Albinoleffe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Renate and 1.4 for Albinoleffe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Albinoleffe to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Renate 1–1 Albinoleffe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Renate36%fair 2.78 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Albinoleffe39%fair 2.58 · @3.00
2.80Expected goals
1.37Renate xG
1.43Albinoleffe xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Renate 1.4 – 1.4 Albinoleffe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albinoleffe to win✗
39%
2.58
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
Renate – last 6
LDDLLD
19 Oct
@ Juventus U23
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Giana Erminio
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Ospitaletto
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Treviso
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
17 Sep
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Albinoleffe – last 6
DLWDWL
18 Oct
vs Novara
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Lumezzane
2–3
L
3 Oct
@ Cittadella
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Alcione
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Juventus U23
5–3
W
17 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renate and Albinoleffe.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Renate vs Albinoleffe?
On our numbers Renate have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albinoleffe 39%.
How many goals will there be in Renate vs Albinoleffe?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renate vs Albinoleffe?
Our predicted score is Renate 1–1 Albinoleffe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Renate vs Albinoleffe?
Renate vs Albinoleffe (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Mino Favini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
