Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio preview and prediction
The match
Desenzano Calvina host Giana Erminio in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni. Desenzano Calvina are 13th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Giana Erminio sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Desenzano Calvina's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Alcione 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Giana Erminio's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Union Brescia 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Desenzano Calvina and 1.0 for Giana Erminio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Giana Erminio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Desenzano Calvina44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.10
Giana Erminio34%fair 2.91 · @2.90
2.15Expected goals
1.17Desenzano Calvina xG
0.98Giana Erminio xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.2 – 1.0 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Desenzano Calvina to win✗
44%
2.29
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.83
–
Form
Desenzano Calvina – last 6
LWWDDL
18 Oct
@ Alcione
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Folgore Caratese
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Juventus U23
0–0
D
21 Sep
@ Treviso
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Lecco
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Giana Erminio – last 6
WDDDDD
19 Oct
vs Union Brescia
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Renate
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Treviso
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
17 Sep
vs Trento
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Giana Erminio.
What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?
On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Giana Erminio 34%.
How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?
Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Giana Erminio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?
Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
