Value bet: Novara to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArzignano Valchiampo to win ✓37% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.42
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara preview and prediction
The match
Novara travel to Tommaso Dal Molin in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 25 October (17:30 WAT) to face Arzignano Valchiampo. Arzignano Valchiampo are 6th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Novara sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Arzignano Valchiampo's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Cittadella 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Novara's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Albinoleffe 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Arzignano Valchiampo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.2 for Novara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Novara to win at 2.88 – 37% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arzignano Valchiampo37%fair 2.68 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
Novara37%fair 2.72 · @2.88
2.45Expected goals
1.23Arzignano Valchiampo xG
1.22Novara xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arzignano Valchiampo 1.2 – 1.2 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arzignano Valchiampo to win✓
37%
2.68
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arzignano Valchiampo / FT Arzignano Valchiampo✓
What is the prediction for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
On our numbers Arzignano Valchiampo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Novara 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tommaso Dal Molin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
