Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Lumezzane take on Folgore Caratese on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Tullio Saleri. Lumezzane are 11th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Folgore Caratese sit 20th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Lumezzane's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Dolomiti Bellunesi 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Folgore Caratese's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Giana Erminio 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lumezzane arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Lumezzane and 1.1 for Folgore Caratese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Lumezzane 1–1 Folgore Caratese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lumezzane48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Folgore Caratese31%fair 3.20 · @3.00
2.48Expected goals
1.41Lumezzane xG
1.06Folgore Caratese xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.4 – 1.1 Folgore Caratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lumezzane to win✗
48%
2.09
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lumezzane / FT Lumezzane✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.41
–
Form
Lumezzane – last 6
WDDLWL
21 Sep
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
17 Sep
vs Novara
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Renate
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Cittadella
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Giana Erminio
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ospitaletto
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Folgore Caratese – last 6
DDLLDL
20 Sep
vs Giana Erminio
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Pergolettese
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Alcione
2–3
L
7 Sep
@ PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Novara
2–2
D
24 Aug
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lumezzane and Folgore Caratese.
What is the prediction for Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?
On our numbers Lumezzane have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Folgore Caratese 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?
Our predicted score is Lumezzane 1–1 Folgore Caratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?
Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
