Serie C Girone A · Italy · Giuseppe VoltiniPergolettese vs Trento prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Trento to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pergolettese 0.5 – 1.3 Trento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Trento shade it despite being away from home – 60% to win, against 15% for Pergolettese.
Pergolettese have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Trento have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (0.5 for Pergolettese, 1.3 for Trento). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (21%), 0–0 (16%), 0–2 (14%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Trento to win at 1.80 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Trento to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Trento or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Trento / FT Trento ✗ | 34% | 2.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 21% | 4.69 | – |
Form
Pergolettese – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Lecco | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Sep | vs Folgore Caratese | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Novara | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Juventus U23 | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Union Brescia | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Cittadella | 0–2 | L |
Trento – last 6
| 21 Sep | vs PRO Vercelli | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ Giana Erminio | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Union Brescia | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs Lecco | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs Desenzano Calvina | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Desenzano Calvina | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pergolettese and Trento.
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Trento?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Trento?
On our numbers Pergolettese have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Trento 60%.
How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Trento?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Pergolettese vs Trento?
Pergolettese vs Trento (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.